TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Jones vs A. Rame (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with F. Jones favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Jones | A. Rame |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
78.9% | 21.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.2% | 25.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.5% | 43.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.9% | 27.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.0% | 19.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
F. Jones leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31, 2026 | Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualification | clay | F. Jones | 2 - 0 |
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | F. Jones | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 1 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rame | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Ciric Bagaric | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Paquet | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Rouvroy | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Struplova | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Tikhonova | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used