TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Curmi vs O. Dodin (Contrexeville on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with F. Curmi favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Curmi | O. Dodin |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
63.5% | 36.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
69.7% | 30.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.6% | 32.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
F. Curmi leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | F. Curmi | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 18, 2022 | W80 Madrid | clay | F. Curmi | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Cengiz | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Lene | 1 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Gallardo Guevara | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Jorge | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Oktiabreva | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | N. Bains | 1 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Appleton | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used