TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Curmi vs J. Vandromme (Contrexeville on 2026-07-10) — the market is efficient, with J. Vandromme favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Curmi | J. Vandromme |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.6% | 28.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.2% | 48.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.1% | 58.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Curmi | clay | 1643 | 67–51 | 118 |
| J. Vandromme | hard | 1778 | 66–19 | 85 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
J. Vandromme leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | J. Vandromme | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Cengiz | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Lene | 1 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Gallardo Guevara | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Jorge | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | J. Grabher | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | P. Hercog | 0 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | V. Wolff | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All July 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used