TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Coria vs S. Sakellaridis (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with S. Sakellaridis favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Coria | S. Sakellaridis |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
18.2% | 81.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.6% | 74.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.7% | 82.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Coria | clay | 1571 | 171–118 | 289 |
| S. Sakellaridis | hard | 1685 | 136–90 | 226 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
S. Sakellaridis leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Forti | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Sachko | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | G. Den Ouden | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | G. Blancaneaux | 1 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | O. Tarvet | 3 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 | June 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used