TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Coria vs O. Bonding (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with O. Bonding favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Coria | O. Bonding |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.1% | 51.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
26.8% | 73.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Coria | clay | 1571 | 171–118 | 289 |
| O. Bonding | hard | 1429 | 25–23 | 48 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
F. Coria leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | F. Coria | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Forti | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Sachko | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | G. Den Ouden | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | G. Blancaneaux | 1 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | O. Baris | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | J. Satterfield | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Bynoe | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Legout | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | H. Y. Kadiri | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used