TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Bax vs C. Rodesch (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with C. Rodesch favoured at 1.14.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Bax | C. Rodesch |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.5% | 62.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
36.5% | 63.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.0% | 69.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
17.2% | 82.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bax | clay | 1507 | 103–71 | 174 |
| C. Rodesch | hard | 1747 | 66–28 | 94 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
C. Rodesch leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. Rodesch | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Weber | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | G. Debru | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Kumasaka | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Inchauspe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Added | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | I. Ivashka | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Santillan | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | O. Crawford | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | P. Inchauspe | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Alkaya | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used