TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in F. Auger-Aliassime vs A. Shevchenko (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with F. Auger-Aliassime favoured at 1.05.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | F. Auger-Aliassime | A. Shevchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
89.8% | 10.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.4% | 12.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
89.3% | 10.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
91.3% | 8.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Auger-Aliassime | hard | 1996 | 169–85 | 254 |
| A. Shevchenko | clay | 1681 | 128–89 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
F. Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 0 |
| Oct. 27, 2023 | ATP Basel | hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Djokovic | 2 - 3 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | D. Prizmic | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 3 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Stricker | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used