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E. Ymer vs T. Skatov — Prediction & Analysis

Wimbledon · ATP Wimbledon - Semi-finals · June 24, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Ymer vs T. Skatov (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with E. Ymer favoured at 1.49.

Surface grass Odds E. Ymer 1.49 · T. Skatov 2.66

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: E. Ymer · T. Skatov · head-to-head record · Wimbledon

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Ymer T. Skatov
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
64.8% 35.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
71.2% 28.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
67.0% 33.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
64.1% 35.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Ymer hard1578 79–96175
T. Skatov clay1615 158–126284

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.

Head to head

T. Skatov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
June 24, 2026WimbledongrassT. Skatov2 - 0

Recent form

E. Ymer

L F. Cina 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
L T. Svajda 2 - 0 July 25, 2026
L T. Skatov 0 - 2 June 24, 2026
W N. Basilashvili 1 - 2 June 22, 2026
L H. Searle 0 - 2 June 16, 2026

T. Skatov

L A. Barrena 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
L J. P. Varillas 2 - 0 July 31, 2026
W O. Virtanen 2 - 0 July 30, 2026
W T. Faurel 2 - 0 July 28, 2026
L A. Rublev 2 - 0 July 23, 2026

All June 24, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used