TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Ymer +2.0 (game handicap) at 2.28 in E. Ymer vs A. Galarneau (Chengdu on 2026-09-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Ymer | A. Galarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.7% | 60.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.4% | 66.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ymer | hard | 1512 | 84–108 | 192 |
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1568 | 156–126 | 282 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.
A. Galarneau leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 22, 2026 | Chengdu | hard | A. Galarneau | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | Y. Zhou | 1 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. McCabe | 2 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Bellucci | 2 - 1 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| L | S. Kozlov | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | M. Rottgering | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | R. Safiullin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 5, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | Sept. 30, 2026 |
All Sept. 22, 2026 results & picks →