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E. Ymer vs A. Fery — Prediction & Analysis

French Open · ATP French Open - Quarter-finals · May 19, 2026 · 10:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Ymer vs A. Fery (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with A. Fery favoured at 1.40.

Surface clay Odds E. Ymer 2.75 · A. Fery 1.40

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: E. Ymer · A. Fery · head-to-head record · French Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Ymer A. Fery
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
49.7% 50.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
43.7% 56.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
24.2% 75.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
39.2% 60.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
33.7% 66.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Ymer hard1578 79–96175
A. Fery hard1722 118–49167

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.

Head to head

A. Fery leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 19, 2026French OpenclayA. Fery2 - 0
Aug. 30, 2023Mallorca Challenger MenhardA. Fery2 - 0

Recent form

E. Ymer

L F. Cina 2 - 0 Aug. 3, 2026
L T. Svajda 2 - 0 July 25, 2026
L T. Skatov 0 - 2 June 24, 2026
W N. Basilashvili 1 - 2 June 22, 2026
L H. Searle 0 - 2 June 16, 2026

A. Fery

L A. Zverev 0 - 3 July 10, 2026
W F. Cobolli 0 - 3 July 8, 2026
W G. Dimitrov 2 - 3 July 6, 2026
W Z. Bergs 2 - 3 July 4, 2026
W O. Virtanen 3 - 1 July 2, 2026

All May 19, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used