TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Yaneva vs Y. Yuan (Warsaw on 2026-08-05) — the market is efficient, with Y. Yuan favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Yaneva | Y. Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
61.7% | 38.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.5% | 52.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.7% | 38.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.5% | 51.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
| W | L. Klimovicova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | S. Lansere | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | A. Smith | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Falei | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Vandromme | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | K. Siniakova | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All Aug. 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used