TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Svitolina vs M. Kostyuk (French Open on 2026-06-02) — the market is efficient, with M. Kostyuk favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | M. Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.1% | 60.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.4% | 52.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 2004 | 91–52 | 143 |
| M. Kostyuk | hard | 1904 | 118–72 | 190 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
M. Kostyuk leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 2, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 1 |
| Dec. 17, 2025 | World Tennis League | hard | E. Svitolina | 1 - 0 |
| Aug. 8, 2024 | Toronto | hard | M. Kostyuk | 2 - 1 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Xin. Wang | Walk Over | June 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | L. Noskova | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | J. Paolini | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | E. Navarro | 1 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 2, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used