TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Svitolina (moneyline) at 3.06 in E. Svitolina vs I. Swiatek (Toronto on 2026-08-12). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Svitolina | I. Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.3% | 43.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.6% | 54.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Svitolina | hard | 1987 | 109–59 | 168 |
| I. Swiatek | hard | 2057 | 204–54 | 258 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
I. Swiatek leads 4–3 over 7 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 13, 2026 | Toronto | hard | I. Swiatek | 2 - 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Rome | clay | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 |
| March 12, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | E. Svitolina | 2 - 1 |
| June 3, 2025 | French Open | clay | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| March 25, 2025 | Miami | hard | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| W | K. Muchova | 2 - 1 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | S. Kartal | 1 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | H. Guo | 2 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | L. Samsonova | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 0 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All Aug. 12, 2026 results & picks →