TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 20.5 games at 1.95 in E. S. Liang vs S. Kraus (Monterrey on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. S. Liang | S. Kraus |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
29.1% | 70.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.2% | 68.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
33.8% | 66.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.8% | 74.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. S. Liang | hard | 1590 | 124–106 | 230 |
| S. Kraus | hard | 1707 | 56–59 | 115 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 24, 2026.
E. S. Liang leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 22, 2026 | Monterrey | hard | E. S. Liang | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Valentova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | S. Saito | 0 - 2 | Sept. 19, 2026 |
| L | N. Bartunkova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 1 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | P. Udvardy | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 0 - 1 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| W | S. Kenin | 2 - 0 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →