E. S. Liang vs S. Kraus — Prediction & Analysis

Monterrey · · Aug. 22, 2026 · 20:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 20.5 games at 1.95 in E. S. Liang vs S. Kraus (Monterrey on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds E. S. Liang 3.40 · S. Kraus 1.18

Bot bet

Under 20.5 games @ 1.95 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: E. S. Liang · S. Kraus · head-to-head record · Monterrey

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. S. Liang S. Kraus
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
29.1% 70.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
31.2% 68.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
50.5% 49.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
33.8% 66.2%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
25.8% 74.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. S. Liang hard1614 124–104228
S. Kraus hard1582 45–5499

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 26, 2026.

Head to head

E. S. Liang leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 22, 2026MonterreyhardE. S. Liang2 - 1

Recent form

E. S. Liang

L N. Bartunkova 2 - 1 Aug. 26, 2026
L A. Bondar 2 - 1 Aug. 23, 2026
W S. Kraus 2 - 1 Aug. 22, 2026
L M. Sawangkaew 0 - 2 July 28, 2026
W X. You 1 - 2 May 10, 2026

S. Kraus

L M. Pohankova 0 - 2 Sept. 14, 2026
L K. Muchova 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. S. Liang 2 - 1 Aug. 22, 2026
L S. Stephens 2 - 0 Aug. 14, 2026
W C. Liu 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026

All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →

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