TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Kalinina (moneyline) at 2.58 in E. Navarro vs A. Kalinina (Cincinnati on 2026-08-15). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Navarro | A. Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.0% | 47.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.8% | 42.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
30.0% | 70.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.7% | 37.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Navarro | hard | 1787 | 91–66 | 157 |
| A. Kalinina | hard | 1682 | 84–71 | 155 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 9, 2026.
E. Navarro leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 15, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 |
| May 3, 2019 | Charleston | clay | E. Navarro | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Kalinskaya | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | K. Muchova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | C. McNally | 2 - 1 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Boisson | 2 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | E. Navarro | 2 - 1 | Aug. 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Vidmanova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
All Aug. 15, 2026 results & picks →