TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Moller vs T. Skatov (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with E. Moller favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Moller | T. Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.0% | 55.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
T. Skatov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Augsburg Challenger Men | clay | T. Skatov | 2 - 1 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Mackenzie | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Topo | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Faurel | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | P. Basile | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used