TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Mandlik vs A. Charaeva (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with A. Charaeva favoured at 1.63.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Mandlik | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.8% | 71.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.1% | 42.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.8% | 56.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Mandlik | hard | 1604 | 98–72 | 170 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1610 | 75–54 | 129 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 18, 2026.
A. Charaeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Arseneault | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabunshchyk | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used