TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Malygina vs V. Turini (Rome on 2026-07-12) — the market is efficient, with E. Malygina favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Malygina | V. Turini |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Malygina | hard | 1555 | 83–67 | 150 |
| V. Turini | hard | 1405 | 27–22 | 49 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 29, 2026.
E. Malygina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12, 2026 | Rome | clay | E. Malygina | 2 - 1 |
| L | E. R. Bertea | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Niemeier | 2 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Zaar | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | S. Lansere | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | V. Turini | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | B. Zeltina | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | D. Cherubini | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Raggi | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | E. Malygina | 2 - 1 | July 12, 2026 |
All July 12, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used