TennisEdge's AI bot is backing N. Podoroska (moneyline) at 2.66 in E. Lys vs N. Podoroska (Sao Paulo on 2026-09-17). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Lys | N. Podoroska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
54.6% | 45.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.7% | 35.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.7% | 41.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.9% | 35.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lys | hard | 1693 | 92–55 | 147 |
| N. Podoroska | hard | 1694 | 71–55 | 126 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 1, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 17, 2026 | Sao Paulo | hard | N. Podoroska | 2 - 0 |
| July 16, 2024 | Budapest | hard | E. Lys | 2 - 0 |
| L | X. Sun | 0 - 1 | Oct. 1, 2026 |
| L | G. Ruse | 0 - 2 | Sept. 22, 2026 |
| L | N. Podoroska | 0 - 2 | Sept. 17, 2026 |
| W | G. Ce | 2 - 1 | Sept. 16, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bulgaru | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Rame | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | K. Quevedo | 2 - 1 | Sept. 21, 2026 |
All Sept. 17, 2026 results & picks →