E. Jacquemot vs L. Samsonova — Prediction & Analysis

Guadalajara · WTA Guadalajara - 1/16-finals · Sept. 13, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Jacquemot (moneyline) at 4.20 in E. Jacquemot vs L. Samsonova (Guadalajara on 2026-09-13). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds E. Jacquemot 5.15 · L. Samsonova 1.17

Bot bet

E. Jacquemot (moneyline) @ 4.20 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: E. Jacquemot · L. Samsonova · head-to-head record · Guadalajara

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method E. Jacquemot L. Samsonova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
24.7% 75.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
37.1% 62.9%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
52.3% 47.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
38.0% 62.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
18.5% 81.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
E. Jacquemot hard1607 106–87193
L. Samsonova hard1790 34–3569

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 15, 2026.

Head to head

L. Samsonova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Sept. 15, 2026GuadalajarahardL. Samsonova2 - 0

Recent form

E. Jacquemot

L L. Samsonova 0 - 2 Sept. 15, 2026
L A. Blinkova 0 - 2 Sept. 11, 2026
W A. Tikhonova 2 - 1 Sept. 10, 2026
W K. Day 0 - 2 Sept. 9, 2026
W E. Lares 0 - 2 Sept. 8, 2026

L. Samsonova

W E. Jacquemot 0 - 2 Sept. 15, 2026
L M. Joint 2 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L C. Gauff 2 - 1 Aug. 16, 2026
W Y. Putintseva 1 - 2 Aug. 14, 2026
L E. Rybakina 1 - 2 Aug. 9, 2026

All Sept. 13, 2026 results & picks →

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