TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Butvilas vs M. Echargui (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with E. Butvilas favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Butvilas | M. Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.6% | 49.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.7% | 47.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Butvilas | hard | 1578 | 81–57 | 138 |
| M. Echargui | hard | 1570 | 139–69 | 208 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
M. Echargui leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | M. Echargui | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 13, 2025 | Olbia | hard | E. Butvilas | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 1, 2025 | Porto | hard | M. Echargui | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. McDonald | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | C. Tabur | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Huesler | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferreira Silva | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Echargui | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used