TennisEdge's AI bot is backing G. Knutson (moneyline) at 1.74 in E. Arango vs G. Knutson (Rovereto on 2026-10-12). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Arango | G. Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.6% | 58.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.7% | 61.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.6% | 52.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Arango | hard | 1544 | 66–69 | 135 |
| G. Knutson | hard | 1665 | 146–92 | 238 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 12, 2026.
G. Knutson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 12, 2026 | Rovereto | hard | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Mandlik | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Aksu | 0 - 2 | Oct. 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 2 - 0 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | R. Dencheva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | M. Kubka | 0 - 1 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 1 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
All Oct. 12, 2026 results & picks →