TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in Dar. Blanch vs T. Skatov (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with Dar. Blanch favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | Dar. Blanch | T. Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.1% | 61.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dar. Blanch | hard | 1549 | 56–41 | 97 |
| T. Skatov | clay | 1615 | 158–126 | 284 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
Dar. Blanch leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | Dar. Blanch | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Wong | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | G. Johns | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used