TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Yastremska vs A. Ito (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with D. Yastremska favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Yastremska | A. Ito |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
82.6% | 17.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.7% | 38.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
82.6% | 17.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
81.2% | 18.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Yastremska | hard | 1707 | 86–81 | 167 |
| A. Ito | hard | 1631 | 140–78 | 218 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
D. Yastremska leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Yastremska | 2 - 1 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 1 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Tomljanovic | 2 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | K. Sebov | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | O. Selekhmeteva | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | Y. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | A. Sharma | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | G. Knutson | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used