TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Sweeny vs T. Barrios Vera (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with T. Barrios Vera favoured at 1.58.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Sweeny | T. Barrios Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.2% | 41.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.2% | 49.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
40.5% | 59.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sweeny | hard | 1584 | 223–130 | 353 |
| T. Barrios Vera | clay | 1624 | 161–103 | 264 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
D. Sweeny leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Sweeny | 3 - 2 |
| L | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Chan | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Martin | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Dietrich | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | I. Simakin | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | D. Sweeny | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used