TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Svrcina vs L. Tien (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with L. Tien favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Svrcina | L. Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.8% | 71.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.7% | 68.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.7% | 84.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Svrcina | clay | 1643 | 100–83 | 183 |
| L. Tien | hard | 1905 | 155–56 | 211 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
L. Tien leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Tien | 3 - 1 |
| L | T. Droguet | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 0 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Walton | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 1 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used