TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Snigur vs A. Kalinina (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with D. Snigur favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Snigur | A. Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.4% | 40.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.3% | 47.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Snigur | hard | 1728 | 175–93 | 268 |
| A. Kalinina | hard | 1699 | 83–69 | 152 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 9, 2026.
D. Snigur leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | A. Kalinina | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 31, 2026 | WTA Cluj-Napoca | clay | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 |
| June 15, 2021 | W100+H Nottingham | grass | D. Snigur | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Tagger | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Aksu | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | E. Seidel | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | K. Quevedo | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
The mathematical consensus suggests a 5.9% edge on A. Kalinina, driven primarily by an ML model outlier predicting a Snigur loss. However, qualitative factors strongly contradict this: Snigur holds a 2-0 H2H advantage and is in arguably the sharpest grass form of her career, while Kalinina enters with reported fitness concerns. Although Snigur faces fatigue from qualifying, her efficient straight-sets wins suggest high current form. We override the mathematical value on Kalinina because the model fails to account for the opponent's injury status and the psychological advantage of the H2H.