TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Chwalinska (moneyline) at 4.06 in D. Shnaider vs M. Chwalinska (Cincinnati on 2026-08-17). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | M. Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
70.5% | 29.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.4% | 53.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.8% | 31.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
70.6% | 29.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1979 | 116–68 | 184 |
| M. Chwalinska | hard | 1814 | 75–41 | 116 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
D. Shnaider leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 17, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| June 4, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 |
| April 30, 2022 | W60 Istanbul | clay | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Pohankova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kartal | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | I. Swiatek | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Sakkari | 2 - 1 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
All Aug. 17, 2026 results & picks →