TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Shnaider (moneyline) at 3.55 in D. Shnaider vs I. Swiatek (Toronto on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | I. Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.7% | 68.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1890 | 105–65 | 170 |
| I. Swiatek | hard | 2078 | 198–52 | 250 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.
I. Swiatek leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 10, 2026 | Toronto | hard | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| April 29, 2025 | Madrid | clay | I. Swiatek | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Townsend | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | M. Bouzkova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | Xiy. Wang | 2 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | J. Pegula | 2 - 1 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →