TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Shnaider (moneyline) at 3.55 in D. Shnaider vs I. Swiatek (Toronto on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | I. Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.1% | 69.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.7% | 68.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1979 | 116–68 | 184 |
| I. Swiatek | hard | 2057 | 204–54 | 258 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
I. Swiatek leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 10, 2026 | Toronto | hard | I. Swiatek | 2 - 0 |
| April 29, 2025 | Madrid | clay | I. Swiatek | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Pohankova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Chwalinska | 0 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 0 - 2 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Frech | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →