TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Rybakina -3.5 (game handicap) at 1.96 in D. Shnaider vs E. Rybakina (Cincinnati on 2026-08-19). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | E. Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.4% | 76.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.8% | 71.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
19.2% | 80.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.1% | 73.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.5% | 68.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1890 | 105–65 | 170 |
| E. Rybakina | hard | 2186 | 193–73 | 266 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 4, 2026.
E. Rybakina leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 19, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| April 16, 2026 | Stuttgart | clay | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Townsend | 2 - 1 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | Ka. Pliskova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Chwalinska | 2 - 0 | Aug. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Sabalenka | 1 - 2 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | Q. Zheng | 1 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| W | Y. Starodubtseva | 0 - 2 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
All Aug. 19, 2026 results & picks →