TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. Rybakina -3.5 (game handicap) at 1.96 in D. Shnaider vs E. Rybakina (Cincinnati on 2026-08-19). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Shnaider | E. Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.4% | 76.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.8% | 71.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
19.2% | 80.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.1% | 73.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.5% | 68.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Shnaider | hard | 1979 | 116–68 | 184 |
| E. Rybakina | hard | 2152 | 198–75 | 273 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 1, 2026.
E. Rybakina leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 24, 2026 | Ningbo | hard | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 19, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| April 16, 2026 | Stuttgart | clay | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Pohankova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Eala | 1 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | E. Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | Walk Over | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | D. Shnaider | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| W | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
All Aug. 19, 2026 results & picks →