TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Semenistaja vs N. Hibino (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with N. Hibino favoured at 1.86.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Semenistaja | N. Hibino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.4% | 47.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.9% | 51.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Semenistaja | clay | 1653 | 148–83 | 231 |
| N. Hibino | hard | 1582 | 124–106 | 230 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
D. Semenistaja leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 |
| May 1, 2025 | W100 Wiesbaden | clay | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 11, 2022 | W25 Cancun | hard | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Chavez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Tauson | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used