TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Semenistaja vs I. Shymanovich (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with D. Semenistaja favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Semenistaja | I. Shymanovich |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.8% | 37.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
78.1% | 21.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
65.7% | 34.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
64.5% | 35.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Semenistaja | clay | 1653 | 148–83 | 231 |
| I. Shymanovich | clay | 1569 | 86–52 | 138 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
D. Semenistaja leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 |
| June 25, 2025 | Wimbledon | grass | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 |
| June 10, 2025 | Valencia | clay | I. Shymanovich | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Raina | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | R. Brantmeier | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | M. Stoiana | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used