TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Semenistaja (moneyline) at 1.80 in D. Semenistaja vs H. Kinoshita (Sao Paulo on 2026-09-15).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Semenistaja | H. Kinoshita |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.3% | 36.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.8% | 33.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.5% | 45.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Semenistaja | hard | 1569 | 66–54 | 120 |
| H. Kinoshita | hard | 1549 | 82–64 | 146 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 7, 2026.
D. Semenistaja leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 25, 2026 | US Open | hard | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tikhonova | 2 - 1 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Potapova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Hunter | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Shubladze | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | H. Kinoshita | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
| L | C. Brace | 0 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | V. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| L | O. Dodin | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | R. Munk Mortensen | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 | Aug. 25, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →