TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Semenistaja vs A. Gasanova (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with D. Semenistaja favoured at 1.59.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Semenistaja | A. Gasanova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.9% | 34.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.9% | 58.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.0% | 41.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Semenistaja | clay | 1653 | 148–83 | 231 |
| A. Gasanova | hard | 1654 | 123–68 | 191 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
A. Gasanova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | H. Tan | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used