TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in D. Parry vs E. Mertens (Monterrey on 2026-08-29). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | E. Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.3% | 53.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.6% | 76.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Parry | hard | 1688 | 68–79 | 147 |
| E. Mertens | hard | 1848 | 130–87 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 27, 2026.
D. Parry leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 29, 2026 | Monterrey | hard | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 15, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. Bucsa | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 2 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | P. Stearns | 0 - 2 | Sept. 15, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | L. Fernandez | 1 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | D. Snigur | 2 - 0 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | Q. Zheng | 2 - 0 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
All Aug. 29, 2026 results & picks →