TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in D. Parry vs E. Mertens (Monterrey on 2026-08-29). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Parry | E. Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.3% | 53.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
38.4% | 61.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
35.0% | 65.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.6% | 76.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Parry | hard | 1761 | 68–74 | 142 |
| E. Mertens | hard | 1840 | 124–82 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.
D. Parry leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 29, 2026 | Monterrey | hard | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 15, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | D. Parry | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | C. Tauson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 2 - 1 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Timofeeva | 0 - 2 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | K. Quevedo | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| W | N. Bartunkova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Parry | 2 - 1 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
All Aug. 29, 2026 results & picks →