D. Parry vs A. Li — Prediction & Analysis

Monterrey · · Aug. 28, 2026 · 23:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing D. Parry (moneyline) at 2.49 in D. Parry vs A. Li (Monterrey on 2026-08-28). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds D. Parry 2.51 · A. Li 1.58

Bot bet

D. Parry (moneyline) @ 2.49 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: D. Parry · A. Li · head-to-head record · Monterrey

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method D. Parry A. Li
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
44.7% 55.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
51.4% 48.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
58.3% 41.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
47.9% 52.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
38.6% 61.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
D. Parry hard1761 68–74142
A. Li hard1777 123–93216

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.

Head to head

D. Parry leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 28, 2026MonterreyhardD. Parry2 - 0
May 28, 2026French OpenclayD. Parry2 - 0

Recent form

D. Parry

L S. Cirstea 0 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W V. Golubic 0 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
W E. Mertens 2 - 1 Aug. 29, 2026
W A. Li 2 - 0 Aug. 28, 2026
W C. Tauson 0 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026

A. Li

L L. Noskova 1 - 2 Sept. 4, 2026
W D. Vekic 2 - 1 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Ruzic 2 - 0 Aug. 31, 2026
L D. Parry 2 - 0 Aug. 28, 2026
W A. Parks 0 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026

All Aug. 28, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →