TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Papamichail vs C. Liu (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with C. Liu favoured at 1.07.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Papamichail | C. Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.8% | 83.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
29.7% | 70.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.7% | 84.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Papamichail | clay | 1545 | 131–116 | 247 |
| C. Liu | hard | 1734 | 101–74 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 13, 2026.
C. Liu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. Liu | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Yesypchuk | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Weckerle | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Andreeva | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | M. Capurro Taborda | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | C. Liu | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Oz | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | M. S. Popa | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | C. Gauff | 1 - 2 | July 3, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used