TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Gibson (moneyline) at 2.19 in D. Kasatkina vs T. Gibson (Tokyo on 2026-10-26). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Kasatkina | T. Gibson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
52.1% | 47.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
36.7% | 63.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.0% | 45.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kasatkina | hard | 1714 | 115–88 | 203 |
| T. Gibson | hard | 1773 | 189–104 | 293 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 26, 2026.
T. Gibson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 26, 2026 | Tokyo | hard | T. Gibson | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Gibson | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Birrell | 0 - 2 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ma | 0 - 2 | Oct. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 0 - 2 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Eala | 2 - 1 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| W | D. Kasatkina | 0 - 2 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 2 | Oct. 23, 2026 |
All Oct. 26, 2026 results & picks →