TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Galfi vs K. Rinaldo Persson (Bastad on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with D. Galfi favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Galfi | K. Rinaldo Persson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.0% | 34.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
60.1% | 39.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
63.0% | 37.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.7% | 33.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Galfi | clay | 1687 | 92–68 | 160 |
| K. Rinaldo Persson | clay | 1574 | 111–69 | 180 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
K. Rinaldo Persson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Bastad | clay | K. Rinaldo Persson | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Seidel | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | K. Rinaldo Persson | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | F. Jorge | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | S. Lamens | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | E. Bennemann | 1 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | I. Wobker | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Zeltina | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | M. Lombardini | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Astakhova | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used