TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Altmaier vs Z. Bergs (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with Z. Bergs favoured at 1.85.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Altmaier | Z. Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.5% | 59.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.9% | 51.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.7% | 51.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Altmaier | clay | 1741 | 128–82 | 210 |
| Z. Bergs | hard | 1758 | 106–88 | 194 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | Z. Bergs | 1 - 0 |
| April 13, 2023 | Sarasota Challenger Men | clay | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Gaston | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used