TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in D. Altmaier vs A. Kovacevic (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with D. Altmaier favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | D. Altmaier | A. Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
68.5% | 31.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
46.9% | 53.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
70.4% | 29.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
68.5% | 31.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.6% | 47.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Altmaier | clay | 1741 | 128–82 | 210 |
| A. Kovacevic | hard | 1669 | 153–121 | 274 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
D. Altmaier leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 |
| March 14, 2025 | Cap Cana | hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 1 |
| Feb. 5, 2025 | Rotterdam | hard | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 28, 2021 | Las Vegas | hard | A. Kovacevic | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 10, 2020 | Ann Arbor | hard | D. Altmaier | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Vukic | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | R. Collignon | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Gaston | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used