TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Werner vs D. Salkova (Contrexeville on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with D. Salkova favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Werner | D. Salkova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
23.6% | 76.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.7% | 49.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.2% | 68.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Werner | clay | 1480 | 53–44 | 97 |
| D. Salkova | clay | 1614 | 97–70 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
C. Werner leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | C. Werner | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 1 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Paun | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Hodzic | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | I. D. Amariei | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A-L. Friedsam | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Boskovic | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used