TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Werner vs A. Charaeva (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Charaeva favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Werner | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
0.0% | 100.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.3% | 55.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
22.8% | 77.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Werner | clay | 1480 | 53–44 | 97 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1610 | 75–54 | 129 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
A. Charaeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Charaeva | 2 - 1 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 1 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Paun | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Hodzic | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | I. D. Amariei | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used