TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Zarazua (moneyline) at 3.10 in C. Tauson vs R. Zarazua (Monterrey on 2026-08-24). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Tauson | R. Zarazua |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.5% | 37.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.4% | 54.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.6% | 37.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
73.8% | 26.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tauson | hard | 1734 | 144–80 | 224 |
| R. Zarazua | hard | 1682 | 122–96 | 218 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 12, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 25, 2026 | Monterrey | hard | C. Tauson | 2 - 1 |
| Nov. 16, 2024 | WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World Group | — | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Bouzkova | 0 - 1 | Oct. 12, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
| L | S. Stephens | 2 - 0 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Parry | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | E. Alexandrova | 1 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Papamichail | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Scott | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Urhobo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | X. Gao | 1 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
All Aug. 24, 2026 results & picks →