TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Tabur vs S. Mochizuki (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with S. Mochizuki favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Tabur | S. Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.4% | 46.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.8% | 55.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tabur | clay | 1616 | 156–93 | 249 |
| S. Mochizuki | hard | 1558 | 118–110 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Mochizuki | 3 - 2 |
| Jan. 16, 2025 | Nonthaburi 3 | hard | C. Tabur | 2 - 0 |
| L | H. Squire | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | O. Luz | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | E. Butvilas | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | J. Rodionov | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used