TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Ruud vs H. Hurkacz (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with H. Hurkacz favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Ruud | H. Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.4% | 66.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.8% | 56.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.4% | 65.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ruud | hard | 1866 | 119–78 | 197 |
| H. Hurkacz | hard | 1777 | 125–81 | 206 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 4, 2026.
C. Ruud leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Hurkacz | 3 - 0 |
| Dec. 30, 2024 | United Cup | hard | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| April 11, 2024 | ATP Monte Carlo | clay | C. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 13, 2022 | Montreal | hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 |
| May 30, 2022 | French Open | clay | C. Ruud | 3 - 1 |
| L | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | J. Faria | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | H. Hurkacz | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fonseca | 1 - 3 | May 31, 2026 |
| L | J-L. Struff | 2 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 3 - 1 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Mensik | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
JSON parse error — mathematical summary: C. Ruud shows 3.2% edge at 2.75 odds (consensus: 37.6% vs market 34.4%). Manual review recommended.