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C. Osorio vs B. Krejcikova — Prediction & Analysis

Parma · Parma - Semi-finals · May 15, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Osorio vs B. Krejcikova (Parma on 2026-05-15) — the market is efficient, with B. Krejcikova favoured at 1.72.

Surface clay Odds C. Osorio 2.00 · B. Krejcikova 1.72

Verdict: no bet

The model found no value at current prices — the market has this one priced about right. That verdict is part of the public record too.
Profiles: C. Osorio · B. Krejcikova · head-to-head record · Parma

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method C. Osorio B. Krejcikova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
60.9% 39.1%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
78.7% 21.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
44.9% 55.1%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
61.5% 38.5%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
46.2% 53.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
C. Osorio hard1807 72–65137
B. Krejcikova hard1893 82–51133

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.

Head to head

B. Krejcikova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
May 15, 2026ParmaclayB. Krejcikova2 - 1

Recent form

C. Osorio

W L. Stefanini 0 - 2 Aug. 2, 2026
L A. Zakharova 0 - 2 July 29, 2026
W S. Hunter 2 - 0 July 28, 2026
L L. Noskova 1 - 2 July 2, 2026
W S. Waltert 2 - 0 June 30, 2026

B. Krejcikova

L L. Tagger 2 - 1 July 25, 2026
W D. Salkova 0 - 2 July 24, 2026
W L. Havlickova 0 - 2 July 23, 2026
W L. Fruhvirtova 0 - 2 July 21, 2026
W M. Sakkari 2 - 0 July 19, 2026

All May 15, 2026 results & picks →

Full analysis

Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used