C. McNally vs S. Kraus — Prediction & Analysis

Osaka · WTA Osaka - 1/16-finals · Oct. 19, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.89 in C. McNally vs S. Kraus (Osaka on 2026-10-19). Result: VOID.

Surface hard Odds C. McNally 1.31 · S. Kraus 2.74

Bot bet

S. Kraus +4.5 (game handicap) @ 1.89 · 1.75u
Result: VOID
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: C. McNally · S. Kraus · head-to-head record · Osaka

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method C. McNally S. Kraus
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
60.8% 39.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
61.6% 38.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
37.2% 62.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
53.2% 46.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
67.7% 32.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
C. McNally hard1746 91–72163
S. Kraus hard1707 56–59115

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 19, 2026.

Head to head

Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 19, 2026OsakahardS. Kraus1 - 0
May 28, 2025W75 BresciaclayC. McNally2 - 1

Recent form

C. McNally

L S. Kraus 0 - 1 Oct. 19, 2026
L K. Muchova 2 - 1 Oct. 14, 2026
W Y. Starodubtseva 2 - 1 Oct. 12, 2026
W L. Tararudee 1 - 2 Oct. 11, 2026
W Y. Yuan 0 - 2 Oct. 10, 2026

S. Kraus

L P. Badosa 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W P. Udvardy 0 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L T. Gibson 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W C. McNally 0 - 1 Oct. 19, 2026
W S. Kenin 2 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026

All Oct. 19, 2026 results & picks →

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