AI match preview for C. Hemery vs P. Martinez (Orleans on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. P. Martinez is the market favourite at 1.55.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Hemery | P. Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
35.9% | 64.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.3% | 70.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
31.8% | 68.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.3% | 67.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
40.7% | 59.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hemery | hard | 1571 | 67–72 | 139 |
| P. Martinez | hard | 1666 | 50–65 | 115 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.
| W | S. Baez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | S. Mochizuki | 1 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | L. Poullain | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | P. Henning | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Martineau | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | J. Rodionov | 1 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | M. Dodig | 0 - 2 | Oct. 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | P. Llamas Ruiz | 0 - 1 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →