TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Dolehide vs R. Montgomery (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with R. Montgomery favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Dolehide | R. Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
7.6% | 92.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.8% | 69.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
7.6% | 92.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.8% | 78.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dolehide | hard | 1606 | 96–90 | 186 |
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
R. Montgomery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Lu | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ku | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Broadus | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used